Hybrid Deep Learning and Agent-Based Modeling for Dynamic Urban Traffic Forecasting in Smart Cities
Keywords:
Smart Cities, Urban Traffic Forecasting, Deep Learning, Agent-Based Modeling, Intelligent Transportation Systems, Hybrid Modeling ApproachAbstract
Urban traffic systems are becoming increasingly complex due to rapid urbanization and the dynamic nature of mobility patterns in smart cities. Accurate and adaptive forecasting of urban traffic is essential for effective traffic management and sustainable urban planning. This study proposes a hybrid modeling approach that integrates Deep Learning (DL) with Agent-Based Modeling (ABM) to enhance the accuracy and interpretability of traffic forecasting. The deep learning component leverages spatiotemporal data from IoT sensors and historical traffic records to capture nonlinear traffic dynamics, while the agent-based model simulates the behaviors and interactions of individual traffic participants under various scenarios. By combining data-driven prediction with rule-based simulation, the hybrid model can forecast traffic flows and adapt to changes in infrastructure, policy, or user behavior. Experimental evaluations using real-world traffic datasets from a major metropolitan area demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms traditional forecasting techniques in both short-term accuracy and scenario-based flexibility. This research contributes to the development of intelligent transportation systems and offers practical insights for city planners and traffic authorities.
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